Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.146211 0.171054 0.198371 0.230572 0.267427 0.308222 0.356726
2026-02-01 0.102268 0.134934 0.174791 0.226692 0.292146 0.371575 0.474841
2026-02-08 0.077897 0.112653 0.158522 0.222822 0.309842 0.422612 0.578738
2026-02-15 0.060369 0.094452 0.142534 0.214232 0.317086 0.457707 0.662503
2026-02-22 0.053273 0.089011 0.142291 0.225859 0.351530 0.530869 0.802748
2026-03-01 0.043623 0.077727 0.131374 0.219706 0.358636 0.565066 0.889978
2026-03-08 0.035728 0.067682 0.120565 0.211695 0.361116 0.591535 0.966839
2026-03-15 0.030020 0.060240 0.112676 0.206922 0.367455 0.623508 1.053656
2026-03-22 0.026733 0.056500 0.110386 0.210921 0.388011 0.678925 1.180933
2026-03-29 0.024660 0.054655 0.111087 0.219987 0.417673 0.751073 1.340254
2026-04-05 0.022251 0.051714 0.109316 0.224241 0.439116 0.810913 1.483304
2026-04-12 0.019787 0.048223 0.105976 0.225051 0.454218 0.860768 1.612655
2026-04-19 0.017470 0.044707 0.102221 0.224828 0.467778 0.909708 1.745495
2026-04-26 0.015216 0.040934 0.097432 0.221998 0.476152 0.950141 1.866650
2026-05-03 0.013218 0.037369 0.092547 0.218289 0.482268 0.986642 1.983004
2026-05-10 0.011172 0.033271 0.085859 0.209865 0.477930 1.002914 2.062778
2026-05-17 0.010701 0.033137 0.088174 0.221279 0.515285 1.101590 2.304187
2026-05-24 0.009226 0.030015 0.082995 0.215239 0.515274 1.127141 2.406944
2026-05-31 0.007861 0.026903 0.077353 0.207376 0.510423 1.142428 2.490350
2026-06-07 0.006839 0.024561 0.073282 0.202691 0.512012 1.170702 2.601167
2026-06-14 0.006317 0.023638 0.072768 0.206616 0.533376 1.241409 2.802295
2026-06-21 0.006039 0.023441 0.074177 0.215515 0.566989 1.340198 3.067134
2026-06-28 0.005603 0.022628 0.073768 0.219691 0.589819 1.417343 3.291433